TY - JOUR AU - Woodward Mark AU - Emdin C. AU - Callender T. AU - Anderson S. AU - Conrad Nathalie AU - Salimi-Khorshidi G. AU - Mohseni H. AU - Rahimi K AB -

OBJECTIVES: To determine the subgroup specific associations between usual blood pressure and risk of peripheral arterial disease, and to examine the relation between peripheral arterial disease and a range of other types of vascular disease in a large contemporary cohort. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Linked electronic health records from 1990 to 2013 in the United Kingdom. PARTICIPANTS: 4 222 459 people aged 30-90 years, registered at a primary care practice for at least one year and with a blood pressure measurement. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to first diagnosis of new onset peripheral arterial disease and time to first diagnosis of 12 different vascular events. RESULTS: A 20 mm Hg higher than usual systolic blood pressure was associated with a 63% higher risk of peripheral arterial disease (hazard ratio 1.63, 95% confidence interval 1.59 to 1.66). The strength of the association declined with increasing age and body mass index (P<0.001 for interaction) but was not modified by sex or smoking status. Peripheral arterial disease was associated with an increased risk of 11 different vascular events, including ischaemic heart disease (1.68, 1.58 to 1.79), heart failure (1.63, 1.52 to 1.75), aortic aneurysm (2.10, 1.79 to 2.45), and chronic kidney disease (1.31, 1.25 to 1.38), but not haemorrhagic stroke. The most common initial vascular event among those with peripheral arterial disease was chronic kidney disease (24.4% of initial events), followed by ischaemic heart disease (18.5% of initial events), heart failure (14.7%), and atrial fibrillation (13.2%). Overall estimates from this cohort were consistent with those derived from traditional studies when we pooled the findings in two meta-analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Raised blood pressure is a strong risk factor for peripheral arterial disease in a range of patient subgroups. Furthermore, clinicians should be aware that those with established peripheral arterial disease are at an increased risk of a range of other vascular events, including chronic kidney disease, ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and stroke.

AD - The George Institute for Global Health, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3DB, UK.
The George Institute for Global Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.
The George Institute for Global Health, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3DB, UK Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK kazem.rahimi@cardiov.ox.ac.uk. AN - 26419648 BT - BMJBMJ (Clinical Research Ed.) DP - NLM ET - 2015/10/01 LA - eng LB - UK
FY16 N1 - Emdin, Connor A
Anderson, Simon G
Callender, Thomas
Conrad, Nathalie
Salimi-Khorshidi, Gholamreza
Mohseni, Hamid
Woodward, Mark
Rahimi, Kazem
England
BMJ. 2015 Sep 29;351:h4865. doi: 10.1136/bmj.h4865. N2 -

OBJECTIVES: To determine the subgroup specific associations between usual blood pressure and risk of peripheral arterial disease, and to examine the relation between peripheral arterial disease and a range of other types of vascular disease in a large contemporary cohort. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Linked electronic health records from 1990 to 2013 in the United Kingdom. PARTICIPANTS: 4 222 459 people aged 30-90 years, registered at a primary care practice for at least one year and with a blood pressure measurement. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to first diagnosis of new onset peripheral arterial disease and time to first diagnosis of 12 different vascular events. RESULTS: A 20 mm Hg higher than usual systolic blood pressure was associated with a 63% higher risk of peripheral arterial disease (hazard ratio 1.63, 95% confidence interval 1.59 to 1.66). The strength of the association declined with increasing age and body mass index (P<0.001 for interaction) but was not modified by sex or smoking status. Peripheral arterial disease was associated with an increased risk of 11 different vascular events, including ischaemic heart disease (1.68, 1.58 to 1.79), heart failure (1.63, 1.52 to 1.75), aortic aneurysm (2.10, 1.79 to 2.45), and chronic kidney disease (1.31, 1.25 to 1.38), but not haemorrhagic stroke. The most common initial vascular event among those with peripheral arterial disease was chronic kidney disease (24.4% of initial events), followed by ischaemic heart disease (18.5% of initial events), heart failure (14.7%), and atrial fibrillation (13.2%). Overall estimates from this cohort were consistent with those derived from traditional studies when we pooled the findings in two meta-analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Raised blood pressure is a strong risk factor for peripheral arterial disease in a range of patient subgroups. Furthermore, clinicians should be aware that those with established peripheral arterial disease are at an increased risk of a range of other vascular events, including chronic kidney disease, ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and stroke.

PY - 2015 SN - 1756-1833 (Electronic)
0959-535X (Linking) EP - h4865 T2 - BMJBMJ (Clinical Research Ed.) TI - Usual blood pressure, peripheral arterial disease, and vascular risk: cohort study of 4.2 million adults VL - 351 Y2 - FY16 ER -